Saved by Sam Blumenthal
Making Sense of the Macro
4th Quarter Commentary January 2024
A perspective on historical economic eras and the implications for current market risks and investment strategies, with a focus on factors such as global trade, labor arbitrage, and the rise of China.
horizonkinetics.comLucas Kohorst added
Peter Zeihan, geopolitical strategist and one of my favorite thinkers, has recently raised the point that the underpinnings of the economy have broken apart. Indeed, what happens when our measurements of the economy (inflation) are no longer accurate, and our tools for controlling the economy (interest rates) no longer work?
When measurements chang
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Keely Adler added
This is an excerpt from our latest Month In Macro report that was shared with all of our Bespoke and Research Suite Subscribers. Below we explain the primary drivers of total returns of a Treasury security (policy rates, policy rate expectations & term premia) and isolate the drivers of excess returns (policy rate expectations). Consequently,
... See morePrometheus Research • Treasury Markets: Policy Rates & Term Premia
Kaustubh Sule added
xsmac • the infinite bid
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Albert Wenger • Startups and Macro Risk
kev added
Kyle Harrison • Markets, Markets, and Markets
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Sam Blumenthal • Signal Leverage
Sam Blumenthal added
commodities and property, which are believed to track inflation,