psychology

Bill scenario and the Linda scenario, respectively, made that exact judgment, in the process committing the infamous conjunction fallacy.

A rational person will invest a large sum in an enterprise that is most likely to fail if the rewards of success are large enough, without deluding herself about the chances of success. However, we are not all rational, and some of us may need the security of distorted estimates to avoid paralysis. If you choose to delude yourself by accepting

What is closeness? Closeness is when your vision of your “self” scooches over and makes room for someone else to be in there too.

you realise their importance, and recognise it sincerely.

We also know, more definitively than we ever have, that our brains are not built for multitasking—something that precludes mindfulness altogether.

Subtlety #2: To not give a fuck about adversity, you must first give a fuck about something more important than adversity.

Who do I think is smart but is actually full of it?

But what are the three emails you regularly get from Uber? “It is now cheaper than it was before” (lowered inhibiting cost), “There are now more drivers on the road” (lowered inhibiting wait time), and “We can now go somewhere we couldn’t before” (lowered inhibiting range). Uber’s entire business is based on reducing inhibiting pressure.

Fourth, use the new belief often and make it part of your identity. Your beliefs are the stories about yourself that you have accepted to be true … so you can decide to change the stories.