long-term thinking
musings on long-term thinking in a shortsighted world. we overestimate what we can do in a year, underestimate what we can do in 10 kinda thing.
Juan Orbea and
long-term thinking
The Shawshank Redemption failed at the box office but went on to gross more than $100 million as a cult classic.
The 48 Laws of Power missed the bestseller lists for more than a decade and still sold more than a million copies.
“Driving the train doesn’t set its course. The real job is laying the track.”
Polina Marinova • The Profile Dossier: Ed Catmull, Pixar's Creative Genius
Thousands of people will want to start a Substack or podcast. Something like 1% of them or less will stick with it consistently for 2+ years. If you commit to things for 10+ years, you develop what appear to be superpowers
The Centre For the Study of Existential Risk
cser.ac.uk
Forethought Foundation
forethought.org
People claim to want to do something that matters, yet they measure themselves against things that don’t, and track their progress not in years but in microseconds.”
-via Ryan Holiday, Perennial Seller: The Art of Making and Marketing Work that Lasts