The Congressional Budget Office has released new demographic projections, and they're alarming.
Fertility is so low that U.S. population growth is predicted to be entirely due to immigration by the early-2030s. https://t.co/58BoXjNCrW
The Congressional Budget Office has released new demographic projections, and they're alarming. Fertility is so low that U.S. population growth is predicted to be entirely due to immigration by the early-2030s. https://t.co/58BoXjNCrW
In a nutshell, growth rests on two building blocks: population and productivity. 1. Population determines how many workers a country will have. 2. Productivity, or output per worker, determines how much each worker earns.
Greg Ip • The Little Book of Economics: How the Economy Works in the Real World (Little Books. Big Profits)
Industries that rely on a young workforce will have a more difficult time hiring workers by the 2030s.
Jean M. Twenge • Generations
In effective-population-adjusted terms, we generally see pretty steady declines after any given area hits its initial peak.
Holden Karnofsky • Where's Today's Beethoven?
La natalité française ne cache donc pas de « bombe à retardement ». Pour autant, le vieillissement n’en est pas moins inéluctable en raison de l’accroissement de l’espérance de vie moyenne à la naissance, passée de 68,4 ans pour les hommes et 75,9 ans pour les femmes en 1970 à 79,5 ans pour les hommes et 85,3 ans pour les femmes en 2007 (en 2020, l
... See moreJean-Claude Barbier, Michaël Zemmour, • Le système français de protection sociale (French Edition)
la reproduction artificielle et l’immigration étaient les deux moyens utilisés par les sociétés contemporaines pour compenser la baisse de leurs taux de fécondité. Les pays modernes comme le Japon et la Corée s’orientaient vers la reproduction artificielle, alors que les pays techniquement moins avancés, comme ceux d’Europe occidentale, avaient rec
... See moreMichel Houellebecq • Anéantir (French Edition)
There are now 8 billion of us — but soon we'll hit a decline we'll never reverse
abc.net.auFor most of the 2020s, the driving economic force will be low growth in productivity, decreased opportunities for investment of accumulated capital, and low interest rates. It will also be a period of increasing unemployment, driven by continued decline in industry and stagnation in high tech as the result of the maturation of the core technology.