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The LLMentalist Effect: How Chat-Based Large Language Models Replicate the Mechanisms of a Psychic’s Con
Baldur Bjarnasonsoftwarecrisis.devAndreas at his finest: https://podcasts.apple.com/au/podcast/rsa-conversations/id1385648485?i=1000660324193
La creencia en la ley de los pequeños números hacía referencia a las implicaciones de un error mental que cometen a menudo las personas, incluso aquellas que son estadísticos con formación académica. La mayoría confunde una parte muy pequeña de algo con el todo. Incluso los estadísticos tienden a alcanzar conclusiones a partir de conjuntos de prueb
... See moreMichael Lewis • Deshaciendo errores: Kahneman, Tversky y la amistad que nos enseñó cómo funciona la mente (Spanish Edition)
Noah Goldstein
@noahgoldstein
The real world versus the survey world
Jenni Romaniuk • Better Brand Health eBook
Ryan Holiday (Tucker Max’s consultant, later stoic author, “Trust Me I’m Lying”) on how adding exceptions to a preconceived belief is easier than updating that belief:
“Once the mind has accepted a plausible explanation for something, it becomes a framework for all the information that is perceived after it. We’re drawn, subconsciously, to fit and c
... See moreEconomically relevant information is discovered from experimentation, not deduced from a model.
Sacha Meyers • Bitcoin Is Venice: Essays on the Past and Future of Capitalism
The people around us influence how we perceive the global society. In other words, we use our own social milieu to make inferences about how people we don’t know live their lives. But this may backfire when we live in homogeneous social environments and rarely meet people living in different circumstances. English psychologist Rael Dawtry and his c
... See moreJessica C. Flack • Worlds Hidden in Plain Sight: The Evolving Idea of Complexity at the Santa Fe Institute, 1984–2019 (Compass)
When the activity is made safer, they behave more recklessly, at least partly nullifying the safety gains.