Sublime

critical thinking and focus on clarifying, defining, and testing theories.

to make inferences about populations, you need statistical methods that incorporate estimates of sampling error.

His model could explain Anthony’s risk aversion, but it cannot explain Betty’s risk-seeking preference for the gamble, a behavior that is often observed in entrepreneurs and in generals when all their options are bad.

Rabbi Louis Rieser.

Do people stick with their initial choices or do they reconsider over time as they see how things are working out?

all findings are tentative.

people have a strong tendency to go along with the status quo or default option.

equalizing false positive rates in a risk-assessment context—ensuring that the defendants who won’t reoffend, be they Black or White, are no more likely to be improperly detained—would, so long as the actual rates of offense between the groups are different, entail applying different standards to defendants of different races.