Sublime

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to recap: our history is just a story, our analysis of the present may presently be dated, and our forecasts for the future may be confounded by volatility, reflexivity, competing curves, and the limits of predictability. With that said, all models are wrong, but some are useful; so with caveats cataloged and provisos provided, let’s proceed!

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Laplace continued his research throughout France’s political upheavals. In 1810 he announced the central limit theorem, one of the great scientific and statistical discoveries of all time. It asserts that, with some exceptions, any average of a large number of similar terms will have a normal, bell-shaped distribution.

For example: tectonic plate movement. First proposed in 1912 by Alfred Wegener, immediately followed by harsh ridicule. Dr Rollin T Chamberlin of the University of Chicago commented, ‘Wegener’s hypothesis in general is of the footloose type, in that it takes considerable liberty with our globe, and is less bound by restrictions or tied down by awkw

while our latest monitoring and modeling are certainly more advanced, there is nothing new either about our understanding of the greenhouse effect or about the consequences of steadily increasing emissions of greenhouse gases: in principle, we have been aware of them for more than 150 years, and in a clear and explicit manner for more than a centur

Physics basically says we’ll understand the universe because we’re going to extremize a function. That’s what physics does—optimization, some least-action principles. So, we’re going to minimize the time, we’ll minimize the energy, we’ll minimize the distance. We’re looking for those functions that we’re trying to extremize and we’re going to repre