The Coming Wave: Technology, Power, and the Twenty-first Century's Greatest Dilemma
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The Coming Wave: Technology, Power, and the Twenty-first Century's Greatest Dilemma
Instead, any transition of this complexity is ridden with unintentional consequences and will swing both ways, creating unexpected upsides alongside unforeseen risks. This is why I believe containment is the right frame. It’s not about more or less technology: It’s about technology delivered in the right way with full recognition of what it means a
... See moreMustafa Suleyman • The Coming Wave: Technology, Power, and the Twenty-first Century's Greatest Dilemma
The wave of AI will be a huge boost for a distributed generation of new entrepreneurs and will enable a turbocharging of innovation in everything from the creation of new pharmaceuticals to manufacturing process design.
Mustafa Suleyman • The Coming Wave: Technology, Power, and the Twenty-first Century's Greatest Dilemma
is for a technological equivalent of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC); an International Panel on AI Safety, or IPAIS. Consider the IPCC’s remit: It exists to provide “regular assessments of the scientific basis of climate change, its impacts and future risks, and options for adaptation and mitigation.”
Mustafa Suleyman • The Coming Wave: Technology, Power, and the Twenty-first Century's Greatest Dilemma
moving fast and breaking things—has never been less welcome.
Mustafa Suleyman • The Coming Wave: Technology, Power, and the Twenty-first Century's Greatest Dilemma
disclosure on larger models trained with computational power greater than 10^26 floating-point operations per second [FLOPs] while the EU is currently set at 10^25 FLOPs). It means those training the largest models have to be open about this with the government.
Mustafa Suleyman • The Coming Wave: Technology, Power, and the Twenty-first Century's Greatest Dilemma
And what about containment, one of the themes that animates The Coming Wave’s pages? The update is, perhaps, surprisingly upbeat. Recent measures like the White House’s executive order on AI, the UK’s national AI Safety Institute, and the EU’s AI Act all show that governments have begun to take AI extremely seriously.
Mustafa Suleyman • The Coming Wave: Technology, Power, and the Twenty-first Century's Greatest Dilemma
The wave has not crested. That cross-catalyzing, cross-pollinating potential has only just begun.
Mustafa Suleyman • The Coming Wave: Technology, Power, and the Twenty-first Century's Greatest Dilemma
Even if further AI development were to cease today, I believe we still have years of further capability gains as teams learn to extract even more from the models we already have.
Mustafa Suleyman • The Coming Wave: Technology, Power, and the Twenty-first Century's Greatest Dilemma
The future is already being written as excavators break ground on a thousand new data centers.