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Election Betting Odds
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Regardless of who wins, these two trends will delegitimize Democrats as the party of the working class or people of color:
Black and Latino men defecting in larger numbers than ever. This cancels the monopoly the party claims on anti-racism and civil rights. You can’t have this many defections and claim you’re still representative of people of color
It was a singular personal triumph. He had run strongly in the rural reaches of the district, where party professionals had thought he had little chance. And the pros took notice.
Jean Edward Smith • FDR
Finding an Interested Ally
Jennifer A. Kurth • The Inclusion Toolbox: Strategies and Techniques for All Teachers
The results were clear and consistent. Moderates and conservatives were most accurate in their predictions, whether they were pretending to be liberals or conservatives. Liberals were the least accurate, especially those who described themselves as “very liberal.” The biggest errors in the whole study came when liberals answered the Care and Fairne
... See moreJonathan Haidt • The Righteous Mind: Why Good People Are Divided by Politics and Religion
The Democrats gained an unprecedented ninety seats in the House to give them a virtual 3-to-1 majority (310–117) and won control of the Senate, 60–36.
Jean Edward Smith • FDR
May the Schwarzman Be With You
The tendency for the rich to vote Republican is stronger in poor states than in rich ones.
Keith Payne • The Broken Ladder: How Inequality Changes the Way We Think, Live and Die
The bipartisan conservative coalition that formed in both houses of Congress demonstrated its strength within the year. With the number of unemployed creeping ominously upward again, in November, 1937, with the Court fight over, the President, in an attempt to end this “Roosevelt recession,” summoned Congress into special session and presented it w
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