Sublime

• Do not trust anyone whose only apparent output is producing PKM-related content. They are trying to sell you the PKM fantasy.


• Of those who do produce something genuinely valuable with the help of PKM, do not believe that simply doing PKM will make you that kind of person. Just because an essayist uses PKM, don't think learning

Accordingly, one can view artificial intelligence as a quest to find shortcuts: ways of tractably approximating the Bayesian ideal by sacrificing some optimality or generality while preserving enough to get high performance in the actual domains of interest.

The only definition of rationality that I’ve found that is practically, empirically, and mathematically rigorous is the following: what is rational is that which allows for survival. Unlike modern theories by psychosophasters, it maps to the classical way of thinking. Anything that hinders one’s survival at an individual, collective, tribal, or gen

What is rational is what allows the collective—entities meant to live for a long time—to survive. Not what is called “rational” in some unrigorous psychology or social science book.*4 In that sense, contrary to what psychologists and psycholophasters will tell you, some “overestimation” of tail risk is not irrational by any metric, as it is more th

Beware when you find yourself arguing that a policy is defensible rather than optimal; or that it has some benefit compared to the null action, rather than the best benefit of any action.

On average, you must anticipate as much downward shift as upward shift from every individual observation.

Epistemic rationality: systematically improving the accuracy of your beliefs.