Sublime
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A fun thought experiment on survivorship bias and selecting the best strategy:
Imagine two entrepreneurs, Alice and Bob. They each open a business with an initial capital of $100,000. Alice takes more risks and, as a result, has a high growth rate of 10%. However, because of those risks, she also has a high failure rate... See more
Luca Dellannax.comI think this was as true in 2016 as it still is today. And I think one approach to attacking the problem of alignment is not just by combining these two communities, but combining elements of each technology and understanding.
Prometheus • Using Consensus Mechanisms as an approach to Alignment — LessWrong
Lewis Terman on human diversity and intelligence in 1922
Also on immigration, democracy, interventions and more https://t.co/2ocEbE2151
relative fitness. Noise, at least some noise, was filtered out. Mathematically, progress means that some new information is better than past information, not that the average of new information will supplant past information, which means that it is optimal for someone, when in doubt, to systematically reject the new idea, information, or method.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb • Incerto 4-Book Bundle
July 10th, 2025
A newsletter by Anne-Laure Le Cunff
READ ON THE WEB
Hello friends,
I recently had dinner with a famous author, a scientist and an artist. Despite their obvious success, the conversation turned to how often they all felt “not smart enough.”
I experience this too, especially when I’m around accomplished people. Since I know many sma... See more
July 10th, 2025
A newsletter by Anne-Laure Le Cunff
READ ON THE WEB
Hello friends,
I recently had dinner with a famous author, a scientist and an artist. Despite their obvious success, the conversation turned to how often they all felt “not smart enough.”
I experience this too, especially when I’m around accomplished people. Since I know many sma... See more
Ness Labs: The Psychology of Intellectual Self-Doubt 🧠
Life is filled with the need to be persuasive. Arguments are more effective when we demonstrate that we have considered the second-order effects and put effort into verifying that these are desirable as well.