Sublime
An inspiration engine for ideas
The idea of building knowledge from first principles has a long tradition in philosophy. In the Western canon it goes back to Plato and Socrates, with significant contributions from Aristotle and Descartes. Essentially, they were looking for the foundational knowledge that would not change and that we could build everything else on, from our
... See moreRhiannon Beaubien • The Great Mental Models Volume 1: General Thinking Concepts
Politics is often referred to as the art of the possible, but the category of possibility belongs much more to natural science with its focus on modelling and probability. Politics is not the science of the possible, but the art of the actual.
Adrian Pabst • Postliberal Politics: The Coming Era of Renewal
One is the neoclassical rational-choice-equilibrium argument that markets automatically come to the Pareto optimal equilibrium for society. This was Ken Arrow and Debreu’s great work. The second is more out of the Hayekian tradition, that markets are efficient at processing distributed information to help coordinate activity in the economy. But
... See moreW. Brian Arthur • Complexity Economics: Proceedings of the Santa Fe Institute's 2019 Fall Symposium
According to this theory, learning is reasoning like a good statistician who chooses, among several alternative theories, that which has the greatest probability of being correct, because it best accounts for the available data.
Stanislas Dehaene • How We Learn: Why Brains Learn Better Than Any Machine . . . for Now
nine out of ten hypotheses don’t pan out. But you have no idea that a hypothesis will not produce the desired result until you are well into the testing process. I believe that it is best to kill a hypothesis as early as possible – as soon as the first sign that the idea won’t take off presents itself.
Roman Zykov • Roman's Data Science: How to monetize your data
advance knowledge, we must turn away from our standard definitions of proof-and from the false certainty of the past-and instead stare into a mystery to ask what could be. The answer, Peirce said, would come through making a "logical leap of the mind" or an "inference to the best explanation" to imagine a heuristic for understanding the mystery.The
... See moreRoger L. Martin • The Design of Business
inductivism is based on the common-sense theory of the growth of knowledge – that we learn from experience – and historically it was associated with the liberation of science from dogma and tyranny. But if we want to understand the true nature of knowledge, and its place in the fabric of reality, we must face up to the fact that inductivism is
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