Sublime
An inspiration engine for ideas
New Yorker financial columnist James Surowiecki, who points out that aggregating the opinions of multiple people often yields an accurate analysis of a challenging situation—even if none of the people is an “expert.” In one example, a missing submarine is found in the
Doug Lemov, Erica Woolway, Katie Yezzi • Practice Perfect
the behavior of online users is surprisingly difficult to predict because it involves a confluence of disciplines, including, but not limited to, psychology, sociology, and economics.
Stefan H. Thomke • Experimentation Works: The Surprising Power of Business Experiments
first decision mistake: using experts instead of mathematical models.
Michael J. Mauboussin • Think Twice: Harnessing the Power of Counterintuition
Making the Invisible Visible
Adam Grant • Hidden Potential
For example, imagine that you offer a $100 prize to a college class for the student with the best estimate of the number of pennies in a jar. The wisdom of the group can be found simply by calculating their average estimate. It’s been shown repeatedly that this average estimate is very likely to be closer to the truth than any of the individual est
... See moreIan Ayres • Super Crunchers: Why Thinking-by-Numbers Is the New Way to Be Smart
The authors of the study conclude that the most effective form of training would be delivered on a “just in time” basis—that is, in anticipation of a pending decision.
Richard H. Thaler • Nudge: The Final Edition
improve decisions about where to eat or what to listen to. It also provides fundamental insights into how our goals should change as we age, and why the most rational course of action isn’t always trying to choose the best.
Brian Christian, Tom Griffiths • Algorithms to Live By: The Computer Science of Human Decisions
Knowing who your “good” customers are—the ones who will buy more—may be nice to know, but it takes second place.
Eric Siegel • Predictive Analytics
General Cognitive Ability.