Juan Orbea

6 discussion topics on which David agrees with Taleb:(1) [p. 286] The sterilized randomness of games does not resemble randomness in real life; thinking it does constitutes the Ludic Fallacy (his neologism). This is exactly right, and mathematicians should pay attention. In my own list of 100 instances of chance in the real world, exactly 1 item is... See more

The smartest decision-makers don't go with their guts. Their success relies on having a future-oriented approach and the ability to consider all their options in a creative, productive way.

The most compelling scenario for mastering the software of intelligence is to tap into the blueprint of the best example we can get our hands on of an intelligent process. There is no reason why we cannot reverse engineer the human brain, and essentially copy its design. We can readily see every neuron and every connection and every... See more

I think there are always circumstances that are involved too. And oftentimes with decision making, the circumstances, the soil in which decisions are made is a really critical and overlooked factor.

The heat released by fission in nuclear reactors must be captured and transferred for use in electricity generation. To this end, reactors use coolants (e.g., water) that remove heat from the core where the fuel is processed and carry it to electrical generators. Coolants also serve to maintain manageable pressures within the core.

For example, Twitter Inc. is centralized (it has a board of directors as its ultimate decision-making authority) and relatively non-autonomous (it exists to generate profits for the benefit of its stockholders). The Ethereum Foundation, like Twitter Inc., is centralized (it has a board of directors or similar governing body), but, unlike Twitter... See more