Juan Orbea

I'm a firm believer that founders are the people who can predict the future. --> "The best way to predict the future is to build it".

- How Chris thinks about writing outstanding explanations.

I think there is an important idea hidden in [1]: while the "social technology" community has come up with many good ideas around better governance, and many good ideas around better public discussion, there is a missing emphasis on better social technology for sorting . 

That’s all well and good, but I worry that this is yet another example of us in education not wanting to level with kids about what’s feasible for them based on their level of academic achievement. Aptitudes show potential, but people can only realize their potential if given the opportunity for training and practice.

In short, VCs in these frontier domains essentially need multiple miracles for these companies to succeed. Compare those scale up challenges to traditional biotech and pharma, where the entire industry has designed systems and processes to prove safety and efficacy and grow production. There’s still serious technical risk, but it’s knowable... See more

So, when making a decision about where you want to work, instead of asking:

But here’s the magic few people ever talk about …We’ve created more than $1.5 billion in value to Upfront from just 6 deals that WERE NOT immediately up and to the right.The beauty of these businesses that weren’t immediate momentum is that they didn’t raise as much capital (so neither we nor the founders had to take the extra dilution), they took... See more

An individual can save (way) more than one life by directing some amount of money to the most effective charities and NGOs (which can be 100s and even 1000s times more effective in having a positive impact than the median charity). There are also other avenues for having such a high impact, such as directing your career to tackle the world's... See more