Indy Neogy

As we enter an age of uncertainty, firms are desperately searching for the tools to keep pace.

Though he knows it’s not fairly common, Colin’s left needing more:

What if there was a way to overlay somehow that I drank half a bottle of BodyArmor when I started the run? And at mile 6, I briefly stopped to drink some water and eat an energy gel.

And then how can I compare how that nutrition impacted my metrics compared to two weeks earlier when I... See more

Falk Lieder, Ming Hsu, and Tom Griffiths showed that the ‘rational’ solution to this computational constraint is to over-sample extreme outcomes. That is, you should apply something like the availability heuristic by calling those more extreme (easily accessible) outcomes to mind. The result is a biased estimate, but one that is optimal given the f... See more

This is why the people who score well on intelligence tests and win lots of chess games are no happier than the people who flunk the tests and lose at chess: well-defined and poorly defined problems require completely different problem-solving skills. Life ain’t chess! Nobody agrees on the rules, the pieces do whatever they want, and the board cove... See more

Everyone belongs to a tribe and underestimates how influential that tribe is on their thinking. There is little correlation between climate change denial and scientific literacy. But there is a strong correlation between climate change denial and political affiliation. That’s an extreme example, but everyone has views persuaded by identity over pur... See more

BS : I used this story to tee up one of the central questions the book asks: What does it mean to have a strong and enduring sense of self when everything is always changing, including you? I am fascinated by this paradox. We all want to be solid and stable, and yet we are also constantly undergoing these shifts to our sense of self. I wanted to st... See more

Expand the diversity of building blocks . As Goldberg puts it, diversity is a necessary condition of selectorecombinative success. The broader our ecology of notes, the greater the combinatorial possibility.

• In what ways might we increase the diversity of our notes?


• How might we connect notes laterally, across topic boundaries?

This advice may sound familiar; it lies at the heart of books like Blink and Gary Klein’s The Power of Intuition, which promise to help readers harness their gut feelings. But for executives taught to methodically frame problems, consider alternatives, collect data, weigh the options, and then decide, cultivating emotional self-awareness may seem l... See more

The organization’s ability to experiment