Thinking About Thinking
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Thinking About Thinking
What Orwell feared were those who would ban books. What Huxley feared was that there would be no reason to ban a book, for there would be no one who wanted to read one.
-Neil Postman, 2005
The first is a weakened focus on the concept of bias. The point of decision-making is not to minimize bias. It is to minimize error, of which bias is one component. In some environments, a biased decision-making tool will deliver the lowest error. For example, statisticians and computer scientists often use a class of procedures called... See more
Jason Collins • We don’t have a hundred biases, we have the wrong model - Works in Progress
Minimize error not bias
The model was helpful—but only to an extent. They found that while AI improved the output of less creative writers, it made little difference to the quality of the stories produced by writers who were already creative.
Rhiannon Williams • AI can make you more creative—but it has limits
Dragonfly Thinking
Our best chance of understanding complex issues lies in seeing them through “dragonfly eyes,” as political scientist and psychologist Philip Tetlock shows in his work on forecasting. Dragonflies have compound eyes made up of thousands of lenses and they integrate the views from these lenses to give them a range of vision of... See more
Our best chance of understanding complex issues lies in seeing them through “dragonfly eyes,” as political scientist and psychologist Philip Tetlock shows in his work on forecasting. Dragonflies have compound eyes made up of thousands of lenses and they integrate the views from these lenses to give them a range of vision of... See more
Miranda Forsyth • Creative thinking | Anthea Roberts — Anthea Roberts
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Jeff Bezos in the Lex Fridman podcast:
... See moreefficiency and invention are sort of at odds, because invention, real invention, not incremental improvement, incremental improvement is so important in every endeavor, in everything you do, you have to work hard on also just making things a little bit better. But I'm talking about real invention, real lateral
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like Fran Lebowitz said “words are easy, books are not.”
Steve Jobs explains the importance of both thinking and doing:
“The doers are the major thinkers. The people who really create the things that change this industry are both the thinker-doer in one person.”
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Everyone belongs to a tribe and underestimates how influential that tribe is on their thinking. There is little correlation between climate change denial and scientific literacy. But there is a strong correlation between climate change denial and political affiliation. That’s an extreme example, but everyone has views persuaded by identity over... See more
collabfund.com • Ideas That Changed My Life
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