long-term thinking
musings on long-term thinking in a shortsighted world. we overestimate what we can do in a year, underestimate what we can do in 10 kinda thing.
Juan Orbea and
long-term thinking
Everything takes longer than you think.
The problem isn’t that you’re not working fast enough--the problem is your expectations were never realistic to begin with.
Figma had $0 in revenue for 4 years.
Completely breaks the “rush something to market and start charging immediately” mindset that most try to adapt.
And it resulted in the largest acquisition of a private software company (ever) https://t.co/YLGBR9hJe0
It took 4.5 years and ~$1bn raised for OpenAI to launch GPT-3, which was their first PMF product.
That breaks every “rule” in the startup world, around mvp and being capital light pre-pmf.
Goes to show you that you have to define your own rules to get outsized success.
immadtwitter.comMrBeast subscriber growth:
2012: 22 subscribers
2013: 612 subscribers
2014: 1,604 subscribers
2015: 15,429 subscribers
2016: 100,000 subscribers
2017: 1 million subscribers
2018: 10 million subscribers
2019: 28.4... See more
World of Statisticsx.com
phoebe and
Our modern world seeks to focus us towards the short term and praises quarterly growth. But in the real world, away from high frequency ledger entries and global capital flows. It takes 100-120 years for an oak tree to grow from seed to full canopy height. It takes three human generations to grow a tree.
