Deep Thinking

Counterintuitive. That’s Forrester’s word to describe complex systems. Leverage points are not intuitive. Or if they are, we intuitively use them backward, systematically worsening whatever problems we are trying to solve.

We are no longer headed toward a smooth or linear transition. What lies ahead is volatile, uncertain, and spiky—marked by rupture rather than reform. As our current economic engines collapse, we’re witnessing a deepening inability to allocate capital toward the future. Capital is increasingly being mobilised to preserve existing assets—assets under... See more

What is needed is much slower growth, much different kinds of growth, and in some cases no growth or negative growth.

The world’s leaders are correctly fixated on economic growth as the answer to virtually all problems, but they’re pushing with all their might in the wrong direction.