decision making
understanding how to get better at decision making
decision making
understanding how to get better at decision making
In fact, decisions are rarely 100 percent right or wrong. Life isn’t like that. Life is like poker, a game of incomplete information – since you never know what cards the other players are holding – and luck. Our decision-making is like poker players’ bets. We bet on future outcomes based on what we believe is most likely to occur.
Quando você não sabe no que acredita, qualquer argumento passa a ser válido. Tudo é passível de debate. Mas, quando luta por algo, as decisões passam a ser óbvias.
O Sistema 1 opera automática e rapidamente, com pouco ou nenhum esforço e nenhuma percepção de controle voluntário.
Q: Como opera o Sistema 1 em nossa mente?
A: Opera de forma rápida e automática, sem que percebamos nenhum esforço ou controle voluntário.
... See moreIt's all a judgment call. Every human decision is a gut decision. The decision itself is the messy integration of many disparate pieces of information, experiences, instincts, stories, and unknowns.
Data may inform, but as long as a human is making the decision, it's ultimately a judgment call. If you're just going by the data, then you're confirmin
“If you can't decide, the answer is no”
— Naval Ravikant, entrepreneur
We make decisions all day long, and many of them are emotionally driven. Rarely do we sift through all the available information to ensure we know every fact. And we don’t need to. It is all about degrees of certainty.