Bitcoin

Looking ahead, the wealth divide will likely accelerate and today’s social tensions must inevitably rise. But, much like in 1920s Germany when hyper-inflation savaged the post-WW1 economy, there was also a widening split between young (stock speculators) and old (bond investors). In today’s monetary inflation World, many young (crypto investors) ar... See more

For example, if public debt is compounding higher at a 7-8% annual clip, then liquidity needs to keep pace to avoid financial crises. Think of it as the ‘cost’ of stability. This rate of monetary inflation represents a return hurdle for other assets because it measures the rate of debasement of paper money. Hence, investors need to figure which ass... See more

At the end of the day, continued fiscal deficits will increase US public debts, which requires more liquidity, more monetization and more currency debasement.

Which is good news for holders of scarce assets (equities, RE, gold, BTC, crypto).

In a world where the Fed — and other central banks — are driving 5-7% annual debasement of their currencies, investors need to make more like 10-15% annual returns to outpace this loss in future purchasing power.

Now, many potential catalysts for Bitcoin (and crypto generally) will rise in 2025. Here are a few:

• A Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (at the U.S. Federal level)


• Strategic Bitcoin Reserves (at the U.S. State level)


• Strategic Bitcoin Reserves (for other countries globally)


• The removal of SAB-121


• Clear regulations out of the SEC and CFTC on crypto


• The Stablecoin

... See more

Historically, currencies like the USD acted as abstraction layers, allowing us to translate the value of apples, houses, and stocks into a single universal language. Tokenization obliterates this framework. It makes anything exchangeable for anything else. Imagine swapping loyalty points for a stake in a music NFT or trading your onchain credential... See more

Before we get to the crack-up-boom phase in this crypto bull market, I believe the crypto markets will experience a harrowing dump around Trump’s January 20th 2025 inauguration day. Maelstrom will be lightening up on certain positions in advance, hoping to rebuy some core positions at lower prices sometime in 1H25. Obviously, every trader says this... See more

Trump is an astute politician and knows his base. To me, that means he must go big early, which is why my money is on a massive dollar vs. gold devaluation early into his first 100 days in office. It is an easy way to make production costs globally competitive in America quickly. It will lead to an immediate re-shoring of productive capacity, leadi... See more