Saved by Lucas Kohorst
Trump Chaos Index
Sometimes forecasts are used to advance political agendas and galvanize action
Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner • Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
Indefinite Pessimism
Peter Thiel, Blake Masters • Zero to One
“Where wisdom once was, quantification will now be.
Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner • Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
“Uncertainty” characterizes a non-deterministic system for which probabilities cannot be assigned to the space of outcomes.
Sacha Meyers • Bitcoin Is Venice: Essays on the Past and Future of Capitalism
So that is the why of Donald Trump. He was the chosen instrument of an insurgent public, and no established centers of power stood in his way. The somewhat different question of how this transpired now needs to be posed. In 1980, 1990, even 2000, Trump’s bizarre trajectory would have been not just impossible but politically suicidal. What has chang
... See moreMartin Gurri • Revolt of the Public and the Crisis of Authority in the New Millennium
Proprietary Technology
Peter Thiel, Blake Masters • Zero to One
The technological and political context has changed in important ways too. Globalization has had destabilizing effects, ranging from climate change to the spread of technology into far more hands than ever before, including a…
Some highlights have been hidden or truncated due to export limits.
