products like the Sony Walkman, the IBM PC, and the iPhone[*16] that were developed by well-established brands. But the David-vs.-Goliath narrative of the small

Successful risk-takers are process oriented, not results oriented.

8] I’d

more

Is America’s increasing penchant for gambling another sign of stagnation?

“The rationalist utopia is a power trip,”

“The superforecasters see the doomsters as somewhat self-aggrandizing, narcissistic, messianic, saving-the-world types,”

Von Neumann was worried about global warming long before most people were—but mostly he worried about nuclear war, fearing that “mankind might not survive another twenty-five years but instead would become the victim of its own self-destructive inclinations.” However, charged with less abstract

prediction is that about 90 percent of you would push the button. And thank goodness for that, because that rather than SBF-style rationality is what creates nuclear deterrence.