
How Not to Be Wrong

Dividing one number by another is mere computation; figuring out what you should divide by what is mathematics.
Jordan Ellenberg • How Not to Be Wrong
The lesson about inference: you have to be careful about the universe of theories you consider. Just as there may be more than one solution to a quadratic equation, there may be multiple theories that give rise to the same observation, and if we don’t consider them all, our inferences may lead us badly astray.
Jordan Ellenberg • How Not to Be Wrong
You know, the most amazing thing happened to me tonight. I was coming here, on the way to the lecture, and I came in through the parking lot. And you won’t believe what happened. I saw a car with the license plate ARW 357. Can you imagine? Of all the millions of license plates in the state, what was the chance that I would see that particular one
... See moreJordan Ellenberg • How Not to Be Wrong
(most famously, the Oxford philosopher Nick Bostrom
Jordan Ellenberg • How Not to Be Wrong
We are in a simulation
Math is a science of not being wrong about things, its techniques and habits hammered out by centuries of hard work and argument.
Jordan Ellenberg • How Not to Be Wrong
Mathematics is the study of things that come out a certain way because there is no other way they could possibly be.
Jordan Ellenberg • How Not to Be Wrong
false linearity
Jordan Ellenberg • How Not to Be Wrong
To paraphrase Clausewitz: Mathematics is the extension of common sense by other means.
Jordan Ellenberg • How Not to Be Wrong
the ‘one chance in a million’ will undoubtedly occur, with no less and no more than its appropriate frequency, however surprised we may be that it should occur to us.”