added by Johanna · updated 2y ago
All Models Are Wrong
“All models are wrong, but some models are useful.”90 What he meant by that is that all models are simplifications of the universe, as they must necessarily be. As another mathematician said, “The best model of a cat is a cat.”91 Everything else is leaving out some sort of detail. How pertinent that detail might be will depend on…
... See more
Some highlights hafrom The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't by Nate Silver
- A mental model is simply a representation of how something works. We cannot keep all of the details of the world in our brains, so we use models to simplify the complex into understandable and organizable chunks.
from Mental Models: The Best Way to Make Intelligent Decisions by authority