Serim Tarcan
@starcan
Serim Tarcan
“It was the best of times, it was the worst of times, it was the age of wisdom, it was the age of foolishness, it was the epoch of belief, it was the epoch of incredulity, it was the season of Light, it was the season of Darkness, it was the spring of hope, it was the winter of despair, we had everything before us, we had nothing before us, we were
... See moreWe can decompose the progress in the four years from GPT-2 to GPT-4 into three categories of scaleups:
- Compute : We’re using much bigger computers to train these models.
- Algorithmic efficiencies : There’s a continuous trend of algorithmic progress. Many of these act as “compute multipliers,” and we can put them on a unified scale of growing effecti
SITUATIONAL AWARENESS - The Decade Ahead • I. From GPT-4 to AGI: Counting the OOMs
Only about 30% of API manufacturing facilities that supply ingredients for drugs for the US market are themselves based in the US. The rest are spread across places like India, China, and the EU
There are at least 4 types of wealth:
Financial wealth (money)
Social wealth (status)
Time wealth (freedom)
Physical wealth (health)
Be wary of jobs that lure you in with 1 and 2, but rob you of 3 and 4."
Financial wealth (money)
Social wealth (status)
Time wealth (freedom)
Physical wealth (health)
Be wary of jobs that lure you in with 1 and 2, but rob you of 3 and 4."
The generic drug supply chain sprawls across the globe and is pretty opaque. Manufacturers are required to report to the FDA when there’s a disruption that could impact supply, but the details aren’t always shared with the public and can be protected as proprietary information
time pressure hinders creativity and problem-solving by prompting people to reach for the simplest option or solution rather than allowing the space to reach a more eloquent one.
Festina lente: A Roman emperor's guide to getting stuff done
paradox with generic injectables in particular: an intensive manufacturing process with very low profit margins.
The Arctic is warming four times faster than the world at large, causing ice to shrink by an area the size of Austria each year. Since the 1980s the volume of ice has fallen by 70% or more. The Arctic’s first ice-free day may occur before 2030.
“Unspoken expectations are premeditated resentments.”
— Neil Strauss