Sublime

“It’s important in most areas of life to come up with a probability instead of a yes or no,” he told me. “It’s a huge flaw that people make in a lot of areas that they analyze, whether they’re trying to form a fiscal union, pay for groceries, or hoping that they don’t get fired.” Dwan seeks to exploit these tendencies by deliberately obfuscating hi

Be nicer and less flashy. No

bookies.

In the United States, we live in a very results-oriented society. If someone is rich or famous or beautiful, we tend to think they deserve to be those things. Often, in fact, these factors are self-reinforcing: making money begets more opportunities to make money; being famous provides someone with more ways to leverage their celebrity; standards o

David Swensen’s Unconventional Success or Joel Greenblatt’s You Can Be a Stock Market Genius.

Day trading and picking individual stocks is not rational for most investors—the odds are heavily against your success.

“the king of gamblers,” Nick the Greek.

another instinct for which player in this position is likely to win.