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matter what specific scenario transpires.” (How comforting to know there’s a host of “next right things” to do regardless of how badly or not so badly it all turns out!) Possibly more instructive than all this strategizing and scenario-planning, however, was the way they began to think about the freedom we can exercise in the 21st century: The cano

Andrew Boyd • I Want a Better Catastrophe: Navigating the Climate Crisis with Grief, Hope, and Gallows Humor

In a volatile, uncertain, complex, ambiguous (VUCA) world, staying deeply engaged with the environment is key. If we are to diagnose problems and understand the outcomes of our actions, we need to have clarity on what is going on. To be sensing means to stay aware of the variety of signals, curating them into a set of legible forces, patterns, and ... See more

Dimitri Glazkov • What Does It Mean to Be Strategic?

We’ll spend a lot more time focusing on how to recognize these moments and what to do about them. We’ll find that these moments often come not only with elevated levels of uncertainty, but with two other psychic horsemen of innovation—exposure to judgment and risk of loss.

Jonathan Fields • Uncertainty: Turning Fear and Doubt into Fuel for Brilliance

Four-and-a-half years ago, as the COVID epidemic hit its first, horrible spike, Jamais Cascio , a professional futurist, wrote a prescient and helpful post titled, “Facing the Age of Chaos.” He began with this simple insight: “This current moment of political mayhem, climate disasters, and global pandemic — and so much more — vividly demonstrates t... See more

Micah L. Sifry • When History Overflows, Build a Lifeboat

To possess the same “vision” of those innovators, to understand our context clearly when we make decisions, we need to develop our sense of self-awareness and situational awareness.

Jay Acunzo • Break the Wheel: Question Best Practices, Hone Your Intuition, and Do Your Best Work

We strongly encourage every company, large or small, to set aside dedicated time to focus on ways to improve your ability to understand the nature of the significantly changed risk environment we are all operating in today, and then assess how your organizational thinking should change.

OODA Loop • Decision Intelligence and Establishing an Intelligent Enterprise

A vital corollary of learning, humility, and the beginner’s mind-set is the readiness to recognize potential threats wherever they may be. No business is so powerful and successful that it can afford to overlook emerging competitors—even those that may appear innocuous or beneficent.