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"According to the Block Data Dashboard, the company has already seen $1.3 billion in monthly trading volume, outpacing rival Polymarket, which stands at $773 million" Kalshi’s global prediction market share is at 62%. https://t.co/diKJ2dcmkn

Alfonso Straffon 🇨🇷🇺🇸🇲🇽x.com

US govt shutdown Polymarket contract observations 1. Often 50k liquidity close to the touch, 5m contracts traded all day 2. Books moved together but not in lockstep 3. Click trader placed at 80c, 10x bigger than the rest of the book, and adjusted the order... See more

yenwod x.com

speculating futures

Agalia Tan • 1 card

Thumbnail of www-x-com-atlantislq-status-1981841639074312699-4be957e3e1de4792

Smart trader on Polymarket User "audreydmac" created account 3 days ago and already made $7k on the Pokrovsk train station market. He only trades on Russia-Ukraine markets and his main positions right now are: - Russia capture Kupiansk by Oct 31 - YES - Russia... See more

Atlantis liquidity

x.com

been working on a tool to get an edge on polymarket currently backtesting it and the results look promising managed to pull $11,000 today with some on and off trades while building, one thing became clear to me: the next bear market will probably be boring for... See more

space Ξ

x.com

Prediction markets are so insanely overhyped and poly market / kalshi are both insanely overvalued Bookmark this

ibuyrugs.gold x.com

I no longer consume prediction journalism of any kind (unless it's someone on x who's opinion i trust) Just show me the polymarket https://t.co/P8l4JdlrE1

Riley Brown

x.com

Analyzed 52,158 Polymarkets at 12hrs before resolution here is what I found >polymarket is within 2-3% of the actual outcome > its most accurate at 80% odds (variance of 0.3%) > least accurate at 50% odds (with a variance of 6.9%) https://t.co/I5nkEpnQIo

MovieTime

x.com

MY BIG QUESTION ABOUT PREDICTION MARKETS In today's newsletter, I wrote about how these markets are expanding the possibilities for people to monetize confidential information, and also about whether they will achieve scale to be economically useful to hedgers https://t.co/B3a5kizec6

Joe Weisenthal

x.com