Sublime
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turns out that lucky men and women, on the whole are not straight-line strugglers. They not only permit themselves to be distracted, they invite distraction. Their lives are not straight lines but zigzags.
Max Gunther • How to Get Lucky: 13 techniques for discovering and taking advantage of life's good breaks
Nassim Nicholas Taleb • Skin in the Game: Hidden Asymmetries in Daily Life
The first step in controlling your luck is to recognize that it exists.
Max Gunther • How to Get Lucky: 13 techniques for discovering and taking advantage of life's good breaks
One of the most incomprehensible features of a crowd is the tenacity with which the members adhere to erroneous assumptions despite mounting evidence to challenge them.
Brendan Moynihan • What I Learned Losing A Million Dollars
it often becomes impossible to figure out how an individual input is affecting the predicted outcome.
Ian Ayres • Super Crunchers: Why Thinking-by-Numbers Is the New Way to Be Smart
“It is impossible to find any domain in which humans clearly outperformed crude extrapolation algorithms, less still sophisticated statistical ones.”17
Michael J. Mauboussin • Think Twice: Harnessing the Power of Counterintuition
Life is like that much of the time: completely random and meaningless.