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David Chee • Is Trump really 62% to win?

Nate Silver • It's 2004 all over again
Si on reprend le mood américain7, plusieurs épisodes de la vie politique de ce pays s’éclairent alors sous un autre jour. L’élection de Ronald Reagan a été très souvent interprétée comme le triomphe de la communication politique. De fait, cet ancien acteur de cinéma a initié une rupture dans la manière de mobiliser les médias télévisés, de se mettr
... See moreVincent Tiberj • La droitisation française, mythe et réalités (French Edition)
His frantic grasping for higher office and ludicrous posturing in his wartime jobs had eroded his popularity so deeply that in early 1945 a Daily News straw poll showed that only one out of every four New Yorkers favored his re-election.
Robert A. Caro • The Power Broker
After comparing voting records, researchers estimated that their campaign had increased turnout by 340,000 people.
Cathy O'Neil • Weapons of Math Destruction
Thirty-one thousand and 21,000—in an election that was decided by 46,000 votes, the weight of those votes could hardly have been a minor factor. Whatever the explanation for the results from the “ethnic bloc” in Texas, John Kennedy had selected Lyndon Johnson in part to take back Texas for the Democratic presidential ticket, and Johnson had done it
... See moreRobert A. Caro • The Passage of Power: The Years of Lyndon Johnson IV
Most discouraging was that Johnson’s percentage of the vote had been so low: thirty-four percent. The June Belden Poll had predicted Johnson’s share of likely voters at thirty-seven percent. Despite the helicopter, despite the money, despite the frantic efforts of the past month, despite that month’s intensified deluge of radio broadcasts and newsp
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