Sublime

if you want to improve your odds, understand probabilities; if you want a sure thing, rig the deck.

The authors of the study conclude that the most effective form of training would be delivered on a “just in time” basis—that is, in anticipation of a pending decision.

One of the Kelly formula’s central lessons is that betting too much in a system with extreme outcomes leads to ruin.

Doing something you are comparatively less good at in the short run might not seem like the best idea, but it can be. Not knowing what sort of practice will pay off is one of the biggest challenges we face when making these decisions.

that consistent but infrequent rewards can create stronger behavioral changes than those that are given all the time.

practices (Like doctors, this is the intentional use of language to create the percep tion of value)—emphasizing that learning was a never-ending endeavor.

within a year, she had put together a cross-agency group of behavioral scientists, policy experts, and program makers, founding and chairing the White House’s first-ever Social and Behavioral Sciences Team. When Obama left office in January 2017, Shankar also departed, moving on to become Google’s global director of behavioral science. In 2021, she

Find a side gig.

Maurice reminded them they could control only their decisions—not their results.