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if internet years were like "dog years," AI development is moving at machine speed — faster than humans can adapt.

Ten years ago it took startups, on average, one year to secure $250k. Now, it takes them 1.5 years.

This shift is more pronounced when you look at Seed Stage. Ten years ago, it took startups 1.8 years to raise $1M; now, it takes 3.2 years. Since 2014

By 5000 BC, following the Agricultural Revolution, the rate of growth had increased to the point where the same amount of growth took just two centuries. Today, following the Industrial Revolution, the world economy grows on average by that amount every ninety minutes.

Nick Bostrom • Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies

In 1995, when Netscape went public, there were 16 million internet users in the entire world. By 2000, just five years later, there were 361 million internet users. By the time Mark Zuckerberg launched Facebook in his dorm room in February 2004, there were 745 million people on the internet. By the end of the next year, there were a billion.

notboring.co • The Interface Phase

The length of tasks (measured by how long they take human professionals) that generalist autonomous frontier model agents can complete with 50% reliability has been doubling approximately every 7 months for the last 6 years. The trend predicts that in under a decade we will see AI agents that can independently complete a large fraction of tasks in ... See more

a characteristic world economy doubling time for Pleistocene hunter–gatherer society of 224,000 years; for farming society, 909 years; and for industrial society, 6.3 years.

Nick Bostrom • Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies

It took radio thirty-eight years to reach a market of fifty million listeners. TV took thirteen years to hit the same mark. The internet took four years, the iPod three, and Facebook two.3 The Pokémon Go app hit fifty million Google Play downloads in fifteen days.4 Ed Sheeran’s 2017 online album release had 375 million downloads in a week!

Zig Ziglar • Secrets of Closing the Sale

the average age of a Fortune 500 CEO is 55.

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Nick Bostrom • Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies

notboring.co • The Interface Phase

Nick Bostrom • Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies

Zig Ziglar • Secrets of Closing the Sale

Nate Silver • The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't