Parv

Avoid content made after 2016 - Something happened in 2016. The internet became less weird, less creative. Whatever the cause, pre-2016 content has a distinct flavour of strangeness that has vanished. My favourite hack for this: Find a book or essay you love. Open up ChatGPT deep research. Ask for 50 similar books or essays, all created before... See more

2. Scroll for anti-social proof - Go to YouTube or Substack, scroll through the explore page, and click only on content that has under 5,000 views. You’ll find niche ideas that haven’t yet mimetically spread. 90% will be a waste of time. Like a successful venture capitalist’s portfolio, the 10% of hits cover the 90% of misses multiple times over.

A better alternative would be to look at a tradable derivative that directly prices CPI. By tracking the price of the derivative, you can see exactly what others think the CPI release will be, and with enough participants, a public market would provide a great estimate of broader consensus. In fact, economic indicators are traded through... See more

The core idea is simple: put the thinking (compute) as close as possible to the data and the person using it. Apple’s hardware, the MLX toolkit, and real‐world examples like Stable Diffusion running on a Mac, show that this isn’t science fiction, it’s here. Try running Apple’s Foundation Model on your iPhone in airplane mode and prepare to be... See more

The biggest gains come from combining disciplines. There are four that show up everywhere: technical skill, product thinking, project execution, and people skills. And the more senior you get, the more you’re expected to contribute to each.

Volatility shocks from growth, inflation, or liquidity do not act directly on the economy. They are filtered, absorbed, or amplified through balance sheets and capital structures. These are the transmission mechanisms that determine whether volatility is dampened into resilience or magnified into fragility.

Why do we need these normalizations? If you want to know the relationship between, for example, time spent in higher education and post-education salary, you don’t want to worry about whether “time spent” is measured using hours, days, months, or years; and you don’t want to worry about whether salary is measured using dollars, thousands of... See more