Lucas Kohorst

@lucas

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Note from Citizens on the new per-bet tax in Illinois suggests that the move could prompt online sportsbook operators to nudge players in "higher tax states" toward (non-state-regulated) prediction markets: https://t.co/dEHI8QO56N

Geoff Zochodne

x.com

Electricity Bill Breakdown & Average | 2024-2025, plus historical data

electricitybills.uk

Chicago Unbound - Chicago Law Faculty Scholarship

chicagounbound.uchicago.edu

'24 Pres Predictor

projects.jhkforecasts.com

Pew Problems—Asterisk

asteriskmag.com

GitHub - ricklamers/tg-calendar-agent: Telegram Calendar Bot powered by Groq

github.com

Raw intuitions about startups

Gordon Brander newsletter.squishy.computer

Interpreting Prediction Market Prices as Probabilities

The document discusses prediction market prices as reflections of average beliefs under different utility functions. Field data supports that these prices generally correspond with mean beliefs.

users.nber.org

Solaris Energy Infrastructure: How A Crumbling Texas Oilfield Services Company Gambled It All On A Convicted Felon And The World's Richest Man

Morpheus Research morpheus-research.com