Lisa Fu
@lisaishere
Lisa Fu
It depends. What problem are you solving? If you’re trying to optimize something, you need data to guide you, because optimization requires clarifying benchmarks. If you’re exploring new frontiers, then you rely on intuition. That intuition is informed by experience with patterns, interaction models, systems, and taste. I work with Applied
... See moreJohn Cutler on LinkedIn: Yes, you are making a forecast. Forecasts are never perfect. But some…
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Forecasting is often vibes. But so is expertise
Often experts apply their knowledge in unfamiliar or uncertain situations. “How much will this policy decrease child poverty” “Will Biden leave in the next 3 days” “Will I feel better after taking painkillers?” “How much will sea levels rise?”
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Just because you’ve got numbers attached to something doesn’t mean it means something or isn’t “made up”
These bedazzled methods fall under the category that Futurist Ilkka Tuomi labels as Epistemic Uncertainty , and the argument goes something like this:
However, as Tuomi astutely... See more
“I’m unsure about the answer to this problem, but I can solve it by gathering more data. Once I gather more data related to the problem, I will be able to devise a solution.”
However, as Tuomi astutely... See more
The Future Thinker’s Dilemma
If validate is a permanent fixture for you or your team consider balancing the possible priming by pairing it with invalidate as in… let’s test the design to validate or invalidate it. Even better just say evaluate. It feels too good to be proven right.
Just enough research - Erika hall
In the almost five years that I’ve been leading CPI ANZ, we’ve never had a “strategic plan.”
Each year, at the beginning of the year, I write a “CPI ANZ vision” which I share with the board. But I’ve been resistant to developing the more traditional 2-5 year strategic plan. And I’ve been thinking about why.
The reason is because most strategic plans
... See moreOn process and ethics:
It might seem overkill when you’re just working on software but it can be a short distance between creating a platform to share cat photos and participating in surveillance capitalism. So it’s best to follow good practices from the beginning, when everything seems the most straightforward.
- just enough research, Erika hall
