Juan Orbea

Third — and here I can only describe what I am observing across the industry — marketing seems to be substituting for real, hard science in the presentation of these startups.

Some funds perform “return the fund” analysis before making an individual investment. This analysis essentially looks to understand what value a given company would have to exit at to both return the fund as well as hit the targeted net return given assumed dilution over time.

You might agree that future people matter in the abstract. But it’s this point — that our actions today could meaningfully impact their lives — that might compel you to believe that positively influencing the long-term future should be a key moral priority of a time. This is the idea encapsulated by longtermism.

We have ways to set up our lives for success when it comes to desires. So desires are path dependent, and one desire can bring us, if we follow that desire, will bring us to a place where we’re in a different position than we were when we started.

For the modern world, questions about the nature of humanity would be viewed on par with the struggle among the Lilliputians about the correct way to cut open an egg. Hobbes, the first truly modern philosopher, boasted of how he deserted and ran away from fighting in a religious war; a cowardly life had become preferable to a heroic but meaningless... See more

The Intuitive Linear View versus the Historical Exponential View

Copyright (C) Raymond Kurzweil 2001 Chart Graphics by Brett Rampata/Digital Organism