Juan Orbea

Since serving his jail sentence and leaving behind his criminal past, Brett has become a leading consultant on tech security, now helping people learn how to protect themselves against the type of person he once was. 

Crossroad #4 – First JobThe professional relationships you form during your first job are the seed of your professional network which influences the arc of your career — from how you think about work, to how you’re known, to the geography where you have advantaged job access for a long time.

"I don't think all the deep biological things will be changed by AI. I think we will still really care about interaction with other people. I think the stuff that people cared about 50,000 years ago is more likely to be the stuff that people care about 100 years from now than 100 years ago."

Existential issues are usually not the most efficient place to add your efforts, but efficiency isn’t a priority when the walls are crashing down around you. You should swarm to existential problems, but if a problem isn’t existential then you should be skeptical of adding your efforts where everyone’s already focused. Folks often chase... See more

The economy “wants” to grow more than the 3.5% per year, which constitutes the current “speed limit” that the Federal Reserve bank and other policy makers have established as “safe,” meaning noninflationary. The underlying long-term growth rate will continue at a double exponential rate. Restricting the growth rate of the economy to an arbitrary... See more

I don't think of this as an affront to the idea that "no one can predict the future." It is, instead, a statement of belief. You're putting your capital and resources behind a future you believe in. Will Bezos' 2,300% internet growth be long-term? Or more volatile, like OpenSea's NFT volumes?

You can find a bunch more juicy examples in the chapter titled, appropriately, "If the News is Fake, Imagine History". 

Throughout the 70s, they were able to make a series of investments that went particularly well (Gillet, Washington Post…).