Jason Badeaux

Tesla’s cell constraints are likely to continue over the medium term. Because its most profitable use of cells is likely to be in electric vehicles, we do not expect Tesla’s energy storage business to drive enterprise value meaningfully during the next five years.

The Tesla Model 3 is a car designed without the driver in mind. Intentionally. I don’t think Tesla did this simply to be edgy, dangerous or different. They did this to prepare people for a world without drivers.

Crypto-economic protocols allow for people to coordinate their economic activities without a centralized, rent-extracting party, and will help move these industries from corporate feudalism to meritocratic capitalism and freer markets.

Delphia is the classic example of a network-effect based business model: as more users contribute data, the returns for funds using the data should theoretically improve. This creates a flywheel, in which more users are incentivized to provide data because hedge funds and other businesses (who benefit from crowdsourced data at scale) are willing to... See more

We estimate now (April 2022) they have over 5 billion miles of data – up from 3 billion miles in April 2020. 1.5 million+ vehicles on the road today collecting data. By end of year 2022, we expect this to increase to 3 million. 1 00,000+ FSD Beta testers on road today. Competitors: Comma AI (50 million+ mi), Waymo (20 million+), Cruise (2... See more

Early on in an energy transition, there is often more attention on how well they can do existing things. Examples include how well coal could heat and oil and electricity could light. But the larger impact for any energy transition, like other new technologies, is to enable us to do brand new things.