Coach & Consultant on Thinking. Former Futurist. Personal Coaching @ http://indy.london ; Business Coaching and Human-AI consulting @ http://enoptron.com
This advice may sound familiar; it lies at the heart of books like Blink and Gary Klein’s The Power of Intuition, which promise to help readers harness their gut feelings. But for executives taught to methodically frame problems, consider alternatives, collect data, weigh the options, and then decide, cultivating emotional self-awareness may seem l... See more
One of the most important aspects of these workbooks is the remarkable sense of process they provide—not only are the projects they’re concerned with in process, the books themselves are process, and as such unworked. This contrasts with the completed works, as well as with the name that underwrites them. In order to create something, Bergman had t... See more
In the most practical sense, we are now much less limited by ideas than ever before. Even people who don’t consider themselves creative now have access to a machine that will generate innovative concepts that beat those of most humans (though not the most creative ones). Where previously, there were only a few people who had the ability to come up ... See more
This is a common error, which existed long before AI. In fact, generating (or selecting) good ideas is a key challenge. LLMs so far seem to be about as good as the internet at generating lots of quite generic ideas - those who can select the ones that match their context (and yes, then, execute on them) are the ones who will have a chance to succeed.
Falk Lieder, Ming Hsu, and Tom Griffiths showed that the ‘rational’ solution to this computational constraint is to over-sample extreme outcomes. That is, you should apply something like the availability heuristic by calling those more extreme (easily accessible) outcomes to mind. The result is a biased estimate, but one that is optimal given the f... See more
Critical Systems Thinking uses various systems thinking approaches to generate multiple partial perspectives that may be useful in making strategic choices when faced with a problem or opportunity - choices that are likely to put value creation at risk or create added value.
It also uses a multi-disciplinary approach, to benefit from the generating ... See more
Our best chance of understanding complex issues lies in seeing them through “dragonfly eyes,” as political scientist and psychologist Philip Tetlock shows in his work on forecasting. Dragonflies have compound eyes made up of thousands of lenses and they integrate the views from these lenses to give them a range of vision of nearl... See more