Optimally constructed, the progression often looks something like initial venture equity for R&D and product development, followed by targeted asset-based debt that serves as a wedge to unlock project-level financing once the core technology demonstrates commercial viability
While credit funds want to move earlier in the technology lifecycle and into new categories, they lack the agility and capacity to unlock this bottleneck. Their investment mandates, governance structures, and operational processes are fully optimized around mature assets with established cash flows, not emerging technologies at the point of commerc... See more
Financial history is marked by the redrawing of asset class boundaries by breakthrough companies, creative financiers, and macroeconomic shifts. This often happens at a shocking speed.
g. The long payback period for financing manufacturing projects means even well-established industry players have a difficult time raising private debt to fund expansion and scale, motivating the development of IFCUS, a government-backed loans program to co-underwrite manufacturing and industry specific debt for growth projects.
I think saying when AGI happens deep tech is all there is to invest is true but also very simple and an easy cop out. plus so many deep tech funds already exist
Recently the expectation-value for a founder pursuing an independently owned, boot-strapped or single angel-round funded company are even higher - “LLM-powered everything” drastically supercharges the small team versus the large incumbent with speed in iteration, and cheap scalability in traditional cost-driving areas like sales, marketing, custome... See more
low funding requirements past an initial pre-seed or angel round before sprinting to cash flow profitability; on the far side, vanishingly few credible opportunities for massive companies raising billions at extreme valuations.
historically high net margins in SaaS were an arbitrage on two things: limited developer talent, and the cost to deploy and scale SaaS services. Talent shortages and low market penetration of software-internet services enabled winner-take all dynamics in large markets - there was no real incumbents, and those who scaled quickly via venture capital ... See more