prediction markets

The Search for a Black-Scholes of Prediction Markets TLDR: - Options only took off once Black-Scholes gave traders a shared model for pricing risk. - Prediction markets lack that: no universal way to structure probabilities, hedge event risk, or map... See more

Our latest article is an exploration of how prediction markets will change the internet. From scrolling on reels, to building positions on opinions. This map, is part of what we released. 🧵 https://t.co/uEtUEpUYXr

Building on Polymarket Not long ago, my team and I launched a project in the Polymarket ecosystem (@PolyScalping). I want to share something that might be useful to you in development. 1. Documentation The official docs explain how Polymarket works at a technical level, from... See more