Macro

More specifically, 2025 was the first year of the Trump four-year term in which he had control of both houses, which is classically the best year for presidents to push through what they want, so we saw his administration’s all-out aggressive bet on capitalism—i.e., the aggressively stimulative fiscal policy, reducing regulations so that money and... See more

a) the Trump administration’s domestic economic policies were and still are a levered bet on the power of capitalism to revitalize American manufacturing and enable American AI technology, which contributed to the market movements I described above,

b) its foreign policy has scared and turned off some foreign investors as fears of sanctions and... See more

Regarding 1) what happened to the value of money: the dollar fell by 0.3% against the yen, 4% against the renminbi, 12% against the euro, 13% against the Swiss franc, and 39% against gold (which is the second largest reserve currency and the only major non-fiat currency). So, all fiat currencies fell, and the biggest story and the biggest market... See more

While most people see US stocks and particularly US AI stocks to be the best investments and hence the biggest investment story of 2025, it is indisputably true that the biggest returns (and hence the biggest story) came from 1) what happened to the value of money (most importantly the dollar, other fiat currencies, and gold) and 2) US stocks... See more

Crypto is valued the way money is valued: by beliefs, reflexivity, scarcity, and collateral utility.

Money is not a business.

Money is not a network product.

Money is a coordination technology with:

•reflexive trust

•role in collateral hierarchy

•function as energy storage

•function as global settlement rail

•macro-hedge dynamics

•political neutrality... See more

The generational wealth imbalance is not a problem that America will solve.

It is a pressure gradient the system will route around.

And the routing takes the following shape:

•AI becomes the new productivity engine

•Bitcoin becomes the new neutral store of value

•stablecoins become the transactional layer

•fiscal policy keeps real growth from collapsing

•... See more

Bitcoin is not popular with millennials and Gen Z because they are rebellious or ideological.

It is because:

It is the only major asset where the asset base is not already owned by the seventy-plus cohort.

Housing? Owned.

Equities? Owned.

Bonds? Owned.

Private equity? Owned.

Land? Owned.

Bitcoin is the only vessel where younger cohorts can accumulate a... See more

You have a society where:

•the young produce most of the real economic output

•the old own most of the financial claims on that output

That is not capitalism.

That is not socialism.

It is a hybrid pressure cooker that has only one escape valve.

4. That escape valve is non custodial, non political, non permissioned digital asset accumulation.