long-term thinking
musings on long-term thinking in a shortsighted world. we overestimate what we can do in a year, underestimate what we can do in 10 kinda thing.
Juan Orbea and
long-term thinking
People claim to want to do something that matters, yet they measure themselves against things that don’t, and track their progress not in years but in microseconds.”
-via Ryan Holiday, Perennial Seller: The Art of Making and Marketing Work that Lasts
MuleSoft, acquired for $6.5B in 2018:
- Took 6 years to reach $10M revenue
- Revenue grew less than 100% every year except 1
- Burned $7M to go from $110M to $188M revenue
- Burned $4M to go from $188M to $297M revenue
Efficient growth is highly... See more
Chetan Puttaguntatwitter.com
“It takes at least six years for a photograph to start getting interesting again after the day it was taken. It’s the curve of photographic interestingness.” Noah Kalina
Thousands of people will want to start a Substack or podcast. Something like 1% of them or less will stick with it consistently for 2+ years. If you commit to things for 10+ years, you develop what appear to be superpowers
it is important to have projects on the scale of an entire life rather than months or years