long-term thinking
musings on long-term thinking in a shortsighted world. we overestimate what we can do in a year, underestimate what we can do in 10 kinda thing.
Juan Orbea and
long-term thinking
It took 4.5 years and ~$1bn raised for OpenAI to launch GPT-3, which was their first PMF product.
That breaks every “rule” in the startup world, around mvp and being capital light pre-pmf.
Goes to show you that you have to define your own rules to get outsized success.
immadtwitter.comMartin Rees: Black Holes, Alien Life, Dark Matter, and the Big Bang | Lex Fridman Podcast #305
Lex Fridmanyoutu.be
The great thing about achieving small things is that you know the big things are just as achievable, they just take more time.
nametwitter.comWe tend to overestimate what we can do in a day, and underestimate what we can achieve in a decade. Miraculous things can be accomplished if you give it ten years. A long game will compound small gains to overcome even big mistakes.
Kevin Kelly • 103 Bits of Advice I Wish I Had Known
Enduring Ventures
enduring.ventures
The reason I say, "Listen, man, you guys should be reading Estee Lauder's autobiography", is because it is my belief that if you were able to bring her back from the dead and let her start a company today, she'd be kicking most entrepreneurs ass, up and down the court, Edwin Land too. Edwin Land started working on what would become Polaroid when he... See more
Patrick O'Shaughnessy • Passion & Pain
MuleSoft, acquired for $6.5B in 2018:
- Took 6 years to reach $10M revenue
- Revenue grew less than 100% every year except 1
- Burned $7M to go from $110M to $188M revenue
- Burned $4M to go from $188M to $297M revenue
Efficient growth is highly... See more
Chetan Puttaguntatwitter.com