Generative AI
Everyone freaks out, and they interpret the statement, ‘AI will affect my job’ as ‘AI will do my job for me.’
Those two things are not the same, because AI can be a tool or substitute. Just because the job may change doesn’t mean that the job will be eliminated.
Source: Kellogg Insight
Even if LLMs don’t get smarter (though I suspect they will, and soon) new capabilities and modes of interacting with AIs, like agents and massive context windows, will help LLMs do dramatic new feats.
Ethan Mollick • Which AI should I use? Superpowers and the State of Play
Ethan Mollick
Writing code from scratch is gone. This was the most exciting part of the profession. Now what remains are debugging/fixing. The same concerns graphical design (original character design in games is gone), writing music (new melodies can be generated by clicking "refresh" and then improved), literature. You never start from scratch anymore. Which
... See more"There’s really no replacement for spending time with these things, working towards a deeper mental model of the things they are good at and the things they are likely to mess up. Combining with domain knowledge of the thing you are working on is key too, especially as that can help protect you against them making things up!"
- Simon Willison, attem
LLMs combine what they “learned” in training with any new context you give them. There are many ways to give the AI additional context, the most common is in the prompt that you provide (“You should act like a marketer and help me respond to a request for proposal”), or any documents you upload to the AI.
Ethan Mollick • Which AI should I use? Superpowers and the State of Play
“We don’t know what capabilities GPT-5 will have until we train it and test it. It might be a medium-size problem right now, but it will become a really big problem in the future as models become more powerful.”
"A key challenge of (LLMs) is that they do not come with a manual! They come with a “Twitter influencer manual” instead, where lots of people online loudly boast about the things they can do with a very low accuracy rate, which is really frustrating..."
Simon Willison, attempting to explain LLM
AI will magnify the already great difference in knowledge between the people who are eager to learn and those who aren't.
Paul Grahamx.comOver the next year or two, I expect GPT-4 and its successors to become a copilot for the mind: a digital research assistant that will bring to bear the sum total of everything you’ve read, everything you’ve thought, and everything you’ve forgotten every time you touch a keyboard.
It will solve some of the perennial problems in productivity culture:
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