“You’re essentially indirectly competing against the smartest, most informationally savvy groups in the world.”

nytimes.com Opinion | Michael Goldhaber, the Cassandra of the Internet Age - The New York Times

Martin Gurri Revolt of the Public and the Crisis of Authority in the New Millennium

Nate Silver On the Edge

Patrick Tanguay Why Is It So Hard to Predict the Future?

Nate Silver The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't

Nate Silver The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't