rationality is a method of dealing with uncertainty by devouring information and making simplifying assumptions about the outside world until you can convince yourself that you understand it
hinterlanderx.comrationality is a method of dealing with uncertainty by devouring information and making simplifying assumptions about the outside world until you can convince yourself that you understand it
Laukkonen calls this a “metacognitive gradient,” a felt slope that guides action when we can't possibly compute the optimal path ourselves. Which we can't, because the effective complexity of reality vastly exceeds our modeling capacity.
If you can't model the whole, you can't derive the right action from first principles. You're forced to rely on... See more
If you can't model the whole, you can't derive the right action from first principles. You're forced to rely on... See more
Weekly Dose of Optimism #178
Rather, it's about developing a strong signal-to-noise filter, and balancing skepticism with the real need to form actionable decisions.
The Epistemology Edition
What are the tangible actions to take? 1. Build a durable base of specialized knowledge to understand and consistently interpret the world 2. Have the highest quality of information flow from the clearest thinkers 3. Identify all of the ways people don’t want to embrace uncertainty, chaos, imperfect knowledge, and risk. Take the bets no one else
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