Fascinating: White voters didn't shift at all in their voting preferences from 2016 to 2024, while nonwhite voters all shifted to the Republican side: https://t.co/xiiJmM5pTZ
Fascinating: White voters didn't shift at all in their voting preferences from 2016 to 2024, while nonwhite voters all shifted to the Republican side: https://t.co/xiiJmM5pTZ
If the altered demographic profile of the two parties in the 2016 election—almost perfectly replicated in the 2018, 2020, and 2022 elections—is signaling America’s newest political realignment, it would be the first since the Nixon-Reagan elections of 1968 to 1980, roughly forty to fifty years earlier. By Walter Dean Burnham’s count (as we saw in C
... See moreNeil Howe • The Fourth Turning Is Here: What the Seasons of History Tell Us about How and When This Crisis Will End
Democrats’ erosion in California, where they won by 29.1 points in 2020 but are headed to “only” a 20.8-point win based on votes counted so far, cost them 0.9 points off their national popular vote margin — even though it didn’t hurt their Electoral College chances at all. Meanwhile, New York cost them 0.6 points, and New Jersey and Illinois 0.3 po... See more
Nate Silver • It's 2004 all over again
An Extremely Detailed Map of the 2024 Election
nytimes.com