Whoa..
We have prepared a peace plan for Ukraine, — Macron
▪️Europe is entering a new era, the threat from Russia extends to all of us;
▪️Peace cannot be concluded on the Russia's terms;
▪️We must prepare for the fact that the US will not be on our side;
▪️Peace cannot be signed in Washington or Moscow.
Whoa.. We have prepared a peace plan for Ukraine, — Macron ▪️Europe is entering a new era, the threat from Russia extends to all of us; ▪️Peace cannot be concluded on the Russia's terms; ▪️We must prepare for the fact that the US will not be on our side; ▪️Peace cannot be signed in Washington or Moscow.
This looks like a pretty reasonable plot of P(Russia invades Ukraine) over time. Except that, as was subsequently revealed, the image is in fact an edited version of a screenshot of this Manifold question, wherein the original price graph has been replaced with that of front-month Brent crude futures1 over the same time period. As it turns out, the... See more
Tanner Hoke • Let there be flow - Tanner Hoke
In a second scenario, it is Europe that would forge ahead and tackle the new institutional challenges without relying on the US anymore. But this scenario is uncertain at best. As world leaders and experts look at Europe, what they see is a continent in disarray—one that is “disappearing into itself”, as it was once put by Kevin Rudd, the former Pr
... See moreNicolas Colin • Hedge: A Greater Safety Net for the Entrepreneurial Age
[3] is of course a more complicated moral question: whether you view paralysis and creep toward de-facto authoritarian global government as a bigger problem or someone inventing an evil technology that dooms us all as a bigger problem.
Vitalik Buterin • What do I think about network states?
Think Plaza Accord... but with nukes instead of pens.
This is no negotiation — it’s coercion.
“You want U.S. defense guarantees?
Then adjust your FX policy.
Rebalance your reserves.
Play by our new rules.”
This is the new dollar diplomacy.
This is no negotiation — it’s coercion.
“You want U.S. defense guarantees?
Then adjust your FX policy.
Rebalance your reserves.
Play by our new rules.”
This is the new dollar diplomacy.
Paul Guerra • Tweet
