Overall US demand for labor has remained strong through multiple waves of automation, with new activities having been created faster than technology has replaced existing ones.12 Yet AI’s broad reach raises concern that this time may be different. The outcome will depend on whether new demand, industries, and roles emerge to absorb displaced... See more

Early evidence suggests that AI may follow that familiar trajectory. Hiring has reportedly slowed for entry-level programmers and analysts—in other words, workers whose tasks AI is particularly adept at performing.5 At the same time, new forms of work are emerging. Companies are hiring agent product managers, AI evaluation writers, and “human in... See more

AI will not make most human skills obsolete, but it will change how they are used. We estimate that more than 70 percent of today’s skills can be applied in both automatable and non-automatable work. With AI handling more common tasks, people will apply their skills in new contexts. Workers will spend less time preparing documents and doing basic... See more