Why Trade Deficits Matter
These trade deficits are self-reinforcing rather than planned. It’s not like the global reserve country necessarily decides to have persistent trade deficits. Using the United States as an example, if the whole world agrees or is forced to mainly use dollars to buy commodities and settle the majority of international deals, then there is naturally
... See moreLyn Alden • The Global Dollar Short Squeeze
As previously shown, Japan has a rather balanced trade situation, and has a current account surplus. This presents a natural “floor” for the currency vs other currencies.
On the other hand, the United States has a structural multi-decade trade deficit and current account deficit.
Because the US trade deficit is so large and structural, when we shift
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