Contrast this situation to the “intuitive” understanding one is supposed to gain by playing with a Victor-style computer simulation. One might make “discoveries”, but one is never certain:

• Does this “discovery” apply to all parameter choices?


• What is the actual quantitative content of this discovery? If some relationship appears to hold — is this

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Bayesian data analysis is a fundamental concept in data science. But it took me 2 years to understand its importance. In 2 minutes, I'll share my best findings over the last 2 years exploring Bayesian Modeling. Let's go. 1. Why Bayesian Data Analysis? Bayesian modeling is a powerful tool in statistics and data science,... See more

Quantifying this updated probability is an application of Bayesian inferencing. We’re no longer asking the simple, one-part question “What is the probability that the person with a pocket protector is an engineer?” Instead, we’re asking the compound question “What is the probability that the person with a pocket protector is an engineer, given the

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